Express 2-2 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.6
No
48%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
34%
+17.6pp
48%
BTTS No
66%
-17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 64%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.25
+112% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
168 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Express
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vipers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2024 Vipers Vipers 3-0 HT 1-0 Express Express UGA
30.10.2021 Express Express 2-2 HT 2-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
2-2
AWAY Vipers
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Express vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Express and Vipers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vipers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Express had 36% of the ball to Vipers's 64%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vipers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Express and 2.50 for Vipers.

What was the final score of Express vs Vipers?

Express 2-2 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Express 21%, draw 31%, Vipers 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vipers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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