Östersunds FK 1-1 Norrby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 11 Apr 2026

Östersunds FK
1-1 HT 1-0
Norrby IF
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Östersunds FK vs Norrby IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
7%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.51
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.32
X/2
12%
8.11
X/X
16%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.62
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Norrby IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrby IF EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
1.53/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.77
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Östersunds FK vs Norrby IF Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Norrby IF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ2
28.06.2022 Norrby IF Norrby IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Norrby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK and Norrby IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Östersunds FK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.00 for Norrby IF.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Norrby IF?

Östersunds FK 1-1 Norrby IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Norrby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 45%, draw 29%, Norrby IF 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Östersunds FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
11 Apr 2026
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