Nürnberg 0-2 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.45
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
23%
4.74
X/2
7%
7.99
X/X
11%
5.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.8
2/2
9%
5.47
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.42/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.80
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.7 Crosses 20.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 0.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-2 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
20.03.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
17.10.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
20.12.2019 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
27.07.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
31.03.2018 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
0-2
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.27 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
400 Passes 335
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden beat Nürnberg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg had 54% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nürnberg.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nürnberg and 0.50 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?

Nürnberg 0-2 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 52%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 23%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026
14:00 Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern Analysis →
14:00 Preussen Münster vs Greuther Fürth Analysis →
21:30 Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96 Analysis →