Al Dhafra 0-1 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
56%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-6.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
56%
Away Win
46%
+9.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.22/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.34
+44% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.1 Crosses 21.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Nasr
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.84 xG 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 Passes 453
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
27.01.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
15.12.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAELK
11.12.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
03.09.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
21.05.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr edged past Al Dhafra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Dhafra and 1.67 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Nasr?

Al Dhafra 0-1 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 22%, draw 23%, Al Nasr 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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