Paraguay (K) 2-0 Ekvador (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONUK, 11 Apr 2026

Paraguay (K)
2-0 HT 1-0
Ekvador (K)
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
CONUK – 2025/2026

Paraguay (K) vs Ekvador (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.4pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay (K) v Ekvador (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Paraguay (K) vs Ekvador (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay (K) saw off Ekvador (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Paraguay (K) made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Paraguay (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Paraguay (K) 2-0 Ekvador (K) in the CONUK on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paraguay (K) 40%, draw 29%, Ekvador (K) 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paraguay (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paraguay (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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