Golden Arrows 1-0 Durban City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
43%
2.07
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.07 — our 43% vs market 39.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Durban City EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.10/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.53
+0% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +59%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.9 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Durban City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
538 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 24
35 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2026 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-1 HT 0-1 Durban City Durban City GAFK
19.08.2025 Durban City Durban City 1-1 HT 1-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
1-0
AWAY Durban City
2.12 xG 0.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
244 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Durban City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows edged past Durban City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Golden Arrows found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 42% of the ball to Durban City's 58%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.12 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Golden Arrows's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Golden Arrows and 1.00 for Durban City.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Durban City?

Golden Arrows 1-0 Durban City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Durban City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 34%, draw 32%, Durban City 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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