Saburtalo 2-2 Meshakhte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Meshakhte EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Meshakhte
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.09.2025 Meshakhte Meshakhte 0-3 HT 0-3 Saburtalo GURCK
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Meshakhte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo and Meshakhte couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Saburtalo at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Meshakhte?

Saburtalo 2-2 Meshakhte in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Meshakhte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 58%, draw 28%, Meshakhte 15%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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