Trelleborgs FF 2-2 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 11 May 2024

Trelleborgs FF
2-2 HT 1-2
Utsiktens BK
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 33% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.29
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.33
X/2
15%
6.18
X/X
9%
4.77
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
9%
4.07
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trelleborgs FF v Utsiktens BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.40/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.37
-8% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-3 HT 2-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
10.07.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-3 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
09.08.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
03.04.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2

Trelleborgs FF 2-2 Utsiktens BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2-2
AWAY Utsiktens BK
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF and Utsiktens BK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Trelleborgs FF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 63% of the ball to Utsiktens BK's 37%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 1.25 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK?

Trelleborgs FF 2-2 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 44%, draw 24%, Utsiktens BK 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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