Cagliari U19 2-1 Genoa U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.80/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.69
-56% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari U19
2-1
AWAY Genoa U19
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cagliari U19 vs Genoa U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U19 edged past Genoa U19 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cagliari U19 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cagliari U19 had 48% of the ball to Genoa U19's 52%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Cagliari U19 vs Genoa U19?

Cagliari U19 2-1 Genoa U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari U19 vs Genoa U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cagliari U19 47%, draw 23%, Genoa U19 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cagliari U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
11 May 2024
14:00 Lazio U19 vs Inter U19 Analysis →
16:00 Sampdoria U19 vs Empoli U19 Analysis →
16:00 Atalanta U19 vs Verona U19 Analysis →