Real Madrid (K) 2-3 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
53%
-19.3pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.5pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 380
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
14.02.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
2-3
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.67 xG 1.41
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 11
387 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) edged past Real Madrid (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 64% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 36%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.67 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 2-3 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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