Huachipato 2-2 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.27/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.44
-20% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
26.9 Crosses 21.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Union Espanola
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
06.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
30.07.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 2-5 HT 1-3 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
06.03.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
04.11.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
12.08.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
2-2
AWAY Union Espanola
2.42 xG 1.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
29 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
349 Passes 203
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 21
42 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato and Union Espanola couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Huachipato at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Huachipato had 61% of the ball to Union Espanola's 39%, shots finished 29-10, expected goals 2.42 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Huachipato and 1.17 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Union Espanola?

Huachipato 2-2 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 45%, draw 26%, Union Espanola 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Huachipato), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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