Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +1%
1.17/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.30
-2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
1W-1D-2L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
16.09.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-1 HT 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
06.05.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 4-1 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
16.07.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
02.03.2020 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-2 HT 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan edged past Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; San Martin San Juan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 2.00 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs San Martin San Juan?

Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 39%, draw 29%, San Martin San Juan 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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