Gold Coast Knights 4-1 Redlands United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.68
Over 2.5
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.8pp
22%
Draw
11%
+10.6pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Redlands United EU Bookmakers 9%
-14% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.30/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.44
-28% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
457 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 11.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Redlands United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.65 xG 0.95
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
356 Passes 155
78% Pass Accuracy 57%
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-0 HT 0-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVSQ
18.03.2023 Redlands United Redlands United 0-3 HT 0-2 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
09.10.2021 Redlands United Redlands United 2-1 HT 2-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
01.05.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 2-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVSQ
03.10.2020 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-2 HT 1-1 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
01.06.2019 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-0 HT 0-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Redlands United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights swept aside Redlands United 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 0.83 for Redlands United.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Redlands United?

Gold Coast Knights 4-1 Redlands United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Redlands United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 60%, draw 22%, Redlands United 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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