Niva Dolbizno 3-3 Bumprom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bumprom EU Bookmakers 27%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.26/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.97
-27% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +72%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
433 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niva Dolbizno
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bumprom
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
01.04.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 0-4 HT 0-2 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niva Dolbizno
3-3
AWAY Bumprom
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Niva Dolbizno vs Bumprom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niva Dolbizno and Bumprom shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Niva Dolbizno at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Niva Dolbizno had 56% of the ball to Bumprom's 44%, shots finished 16-16.

What was the final score of Niva Dolbizno vs Bumprom?

Niva Dolbizno 3-3 Bumprom in the Belarus - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niva Dolbizno vs Bumprom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niva Dolbizno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Niva Dolbizno 42%, draw 27%, Bumprom 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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