Flamengo 2-0 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 May 2024

Flamengo
2-0 HT 1-0
Corinthians
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Flamengo vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 34% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
13%
3.53
X/2
8%
10.95
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
16%
9.65
2/X
9%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
60%
-15.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+12.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flamengo v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +27%
1.86/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.55
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
21.3 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Flamengo vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Corinthians
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
446 Passes 360
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
03.11.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
13.10.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
10.08.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians LKU

Flamengo 2-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
2-0
AWAY Corinthians
1.70 xG 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 6
422 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo saw off Corinthians 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Flamengo had 58% of the ball to Corinthians's 42%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.70 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Flamengo and 0.67 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Flamengo 2-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 44%, draw 27%, Corinthians 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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