Vejgaard BK 1-0 Vanlose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanlose EU Bookmakers 32%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
0.53/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.81
-71% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejgaard BK
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Vanlose
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
16.09.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 1-1 HT 0-0 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN3
POST-MATCH Vejgaard BK vs Vanlose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejgaard BK nicked a narrow win over Vanlose 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vejgaard BK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vejgaard BK and 0.50 for Vanlose.

What was the final score of Vejgaard BK vs Vanlose?

Vejgaard BK 1-0 Vanlose in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejgaard BK vs Vanlose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vejgaard BK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vejgaard BK 43%, draw 21%, Vanlose 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vejgaard BK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vejgaard BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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