Welayta Dicha 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 37%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welayta Dicha
1-2
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna edged past Welayta Dicha 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Ethiopia Bunna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welayta Dicha had 37% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 63%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Welayta Dicha 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welayta Dicha win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Welayta Dicha 35%, draw 31%, Ethiopia Bunna 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Welayta Dicha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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