11/05/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
CODM Meknes vs Wydad Fes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
30%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
23%
Draw
27%
25%
Away Win
17%
64%
Under 2.5
67%
36%
Over 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS Yes
33%
67%
BTTS No
67%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CODM Meknes v Wydad Fes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
CODM Meknes
EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Wydad Fes
EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
0.68/0.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.22/1.44
-56%
/
-15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-77%
/
-11%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
368 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
CODM Meknes vs Wydad Fes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
CODM Meknes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Wydad Fes
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
5
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
1
0
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
12.11.2023
Wydad Fes
0-1
HT 0-1
CODM Meknes
FAS2
0-1
HT 0-1
CODM Meknes
FAS2
POST-MATCH
CODM Meknes vs Wydad Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
CODM Meknes edged past Wydad Fes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CODM Meknes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of CODM Meknes vs Wydad Fes?
CODM Meknes 2-1 Wydad Fes in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CODM Meknes vs Wydad Fes?
Before kick-off our model rated a CODM Meknes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CODM Meknes 53%, draw 23%, Wydad Fes 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CODM Meknes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (CODM Meknes)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FAS2
More Morocco - Botola 2
11 May 2024