Chuncheon Citizen 3-2 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
0.78/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.69
-28% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +52%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.08.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
15.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen squeezed past Gyeongju HNP 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 0.50 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Chuncheon Citizen 3-2 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 27%, draw 25%, Gyeongju HNP 49%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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