Lee Man vs Sham Shui Po Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lee Man v Sham Shui Po — Team-Based Signals
Lee Man vs Sham Shui Po Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Sham Shui Po
HK1
4-0
HT 0-0
Sham Shui Po
HK1
0-4
HT 0-2
Lee Man
HK1
Lee Man 1-2 Sham Shui Po — Actual Match Statistics
Sham Shui Po edged past Lee Man 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lee Man at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Lee Man had 67% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 33%, shots finished 17-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Lee Man and 0.33 for Sham Shui Po.
What was the final score of Lee Man vs Sham Shui Po?
Lee Man 1-2 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Sham Shui Po?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 68%, draw 18%, Sham Shui Po 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lee Man) went the other way.