Gor Mahia 1-0 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.6pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+117% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
1-0
AWAY Shabana
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia nicked a narrow win over Shabana 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 56% of the ball to Shabana's 44%, shots finished 5-5.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Shabana?

Gor Mahia 1-0 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 55%, draw 31%, Shabana 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →