Al Kuwait 5-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
77%
-7.9pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kuwait EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
2.80/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.63
+6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kuwait
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Nasar
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
30.03.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
08.03.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
07.12.2023 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
04.03.2023 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 7-2 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
01.11.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
14.04.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kuwait
5-1
AWAY Al Nasar
65% Ball Possession 35%
30 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Al Kuwait vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kuwait swept aside Al Nasar 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Kuwait as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Al Kuwait had 65% of the ball to Al Nasar's 35%, shots finished 30-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Kuwait had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Al Kuwait and 1.17 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Kuwait vs Al Nasar?

Al Kuwait 5-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kuwait vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kuwait win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Kuwait 69%, draw 19%, Al Nasar 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kuwait), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kuwait) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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