Pahang 1-0 Kelantan United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
2.63
Over Pick
69%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
36%
4-5
32%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-7.9pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.6pp
31%
Under 2.5
34%
-3.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
66%
+3.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.4pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelantan United EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.91/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/3.65
-31% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -32%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kelantan United
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.23 xG 1.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 168
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.08.2023 Kelantan United Kelantan United 1-5 HT 0-3 Pahang Pahang MALES
23.06.2023 Kelantan United Kelantan United 0-5 HT 0-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
10.04.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelantan United Kelantan United MALES
02.03.2023 Pahang Pahang 4-1 HT 4-0 Kelantan United Kelantan United MALES
29.07.2018 Kelantan United Kelantan United 2-1 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
10.02.2018 Pahang Pahang 3-0 HT 1-0 Kelantan United Kelantan United MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs Kelantan United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pahang squeezed past Kelantan United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pahang as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pahang had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Pahang and 0.67 for Kelantan United.

What was the final score of Pahang vs Kelantan United?

Pahang 1-0 Kelantan United in the Malaysia - Super League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs Kelantan United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pahang win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Pahang 64%, draw 20%, Kelantan United 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pahang) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pahang) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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MALES More Malaysia - Super League
11 May 2024
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