CSF Balti 2-2 Dacia-Buiucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.84/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.09
-13% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
04.04.2024 Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 HT 1-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLDK
02.03.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-1 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLDK
07.10.2023 Dacia-Buiucani 1-5 HT 1-2 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
05.08.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-0 HT 1-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
16.09.2022 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-1 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
2-2
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Dacia-Buiucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSF Balti and Dacia-Buiucani shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. CSF Balti carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSF Balti had 51% of the ball to Dacia-Buiucani's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSF Balti had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CSF Balti and 0.83 for Dacia-Buiucani.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Dacia-Buiucani?

CSF Balti 2-2 Dacia-Buiucani in the Moldova - National League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Dacia-Buiucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 62%, draw 23%, Dacia-Buiucani 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSF Balti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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