Molde 2-2 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 May 2024

Molde
2-2 HT 1-0
Rosenborg
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs Rosenborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.09
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.74
6+ Goals
16%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
11%
11.6
X/X
10%
6.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
2/2
8%
8.14
2/X
5%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Rosenborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.03
+31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.3 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Molde vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
16.04.2023 Molde Molde 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
23.10.2022 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
24.04.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
21.11.2021 Molde Molde 4-1 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
24.05.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-3 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR

Molde 2-2 Rosenborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
2-2
AWAY Rosenborg
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
412 Passes 436
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Molde vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde and Rosenborg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Molde had 49% of the ball to Rosenborg's 51%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Molde and 1.33 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Molde vs Rosenborg?

Molde 2-2 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Molde 52%, draw 22%, Rosenborg 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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