Sport Boys 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.20/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.47
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
25.5 Crosses 14.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.58 xG 2.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
296 Passes 275
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 2-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
07.06.2018 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1-1
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
0.76 xG 0.96
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
182 Passes 390
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys and Comerciantes Unidos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Boys at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sport Boys had 36% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 64%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sport Boys and 2.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Sport Boys 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 54%, draw 27%, Comerciantes Unidos 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Boys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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