Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Arsenal Tula
1-0 HT 0-0
Neftekhimik
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2023/2024
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.67
Draw
29%
2.95
Away
27%
3.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.79
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.95/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.91
+35% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
02.04.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
Actual Match Statistics
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY Neftekhimik
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Arsenal Tula edged past Neftekhimik 1-0 in the Russia - FNL on 11 May 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 58% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 42%, shots finished 10-3.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik lead the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.50 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 44%, draw 29%, Neftekhimik 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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