Eibar (K) 0-2 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.91
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
14%
+19.7pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.6pp
33%
Away Win
64%
-30.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.64/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.03
-45% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
10.4 Crosses 21.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.06
29% Ball Possession 72%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 13
138 Passes 484
58% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 0
24.11.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
24.03.2024 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
0-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.29 xG 2.98
21% Ball Possession 79%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
106 Passes 610
55% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 31
5 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) got the better of Eibar (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 21% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 79%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.29 to 2.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar (K) and 1.00 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Eibar (K) 0-2 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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