Real Sociedad (K) 4-2 Granada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
+17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.6 Crosses 23.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Granada (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.72 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
322 Passes 214
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Granada (K) Granada (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
11.02.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Granada (K) Granada (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
4-2
AWAY Granada (K)
3.09 xG 1.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
417 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad (K) vs Granada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad (K) beat Granada (K) 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Sociedad (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Sociedad (K) had 60% of the ball to Granada (K)'s 40%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 3.09 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Sociedad (K) and 0.50 for Granada (K).

What was the final score of Real Sociedad (K) vs Granada (K)?

Real Sociedad (K) 4-2 Granada (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad (K) vs Granada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad (K) 33%, draw 33%, Granada (K) 33%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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