JJK Jyvaskyla 1-1 KPV Kokkola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
7.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 26% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 50%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.44
+150% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KPV Kokkola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
20.07.2024 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 0-2 HT 0-1 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN3
13.05.2024 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 0-3 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
07.10.2023 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 3-1 HT 2-1 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FINY
28.06.2023 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 0-0 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
15.04.2023 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 0-0 HT 0-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
25.08.2018 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 4-1 HT 1-1 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
POST-MATCH JJK Jyvaskyla vs KPV Kokkola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JJK Jyvaskyla and KPV Kokkola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KPV Kokkola at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KPV Kokkola led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JJK Jyvaskyla and 1.67 for KPV Kokkola.

What was the final score of JJK Jyvaskyla vs KPV Kokkola?

JJK Jyvaskyla 1-1 KPV Kokkola in the FİN3 on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JJK Jyvaskyla vs KPV Kokkola?

Before kick-off our model rated an KPV Kokkola win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JJK Jyvaskyla 31%, draw 26%, KPV Kokkola 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KPV Kokkola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KPV Kokkola) ✓ Under 2.5
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