Jaro 0-3 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 May 2025

Jaro
0-3 HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

Jaro vs HJK Helsinki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
41%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
16%
8.18
1/2
7%
24.65
1/X
6%
16.3
X/1
10%
9.86
X/2
10%
4.22
X/X
15%
4.91
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.21
2/X
8%
14.5
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.18 — our 16% vs market 8.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
54%
-13.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v HJK Helsinki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 58%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
0.66/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.02
-28% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
– Crosses 20.2
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Jaro vs HJK Helsinki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
0W-1D-5L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
13.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
22.06.2015 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
03.05.2015 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
31.08.2014 Jaro Jaro 1-4 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
08.06.2014 Jaro Jaro 0-2 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
06.04.2014 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN

Jaro 0-3 HJK Helsinki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
0-3
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.15 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
173 Passes 213
59% Pass Accuracy 65%
13 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jaro vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki swept aside Jaro 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Jaro had 47% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 53%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.15 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Jaro and 2.50 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Jaro vs HJK Helsinki?

Jaro 0-3 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jaro 31%, draw 28%, HJK Helsinki 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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