Jaro 0-3 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 May 2025

Jaro
0 - 3 HT 0 - 0
HJK Helsinki
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.29
Draw
25%
3.54
Away Pick
56%
1.7
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.85
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.23
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
21%
3.81
6+
5%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.18
1/2
4%
24.65
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
8%
9.86
X/2
19%
4.22
X/X
15%
4.91
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
33%
2.21
2/X
5%
14.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Jaro The Market 23%
Signal
AWAY HJK Helsinki The Market 59%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
1.63 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
Crosses 20
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
0W-1D-5L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
13.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
22.06.2015 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
03.05.2015 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
31.08.2014 Jaro Jaro 1-4 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
08.06.2014 Jaro Jaro 0-2 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
06.04.2014 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
0 - 3
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.15 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
173 Passes 213
59% Pass Accuracy 65%
13 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Jaro vs HJK Helsinki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

HJK Helsinki overpowered Jaro 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.

The match data tells the story: HJK Helsinki saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.15 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Jaro against 2.50 for HJK Helsinki.

Jaro vs HJK Helsinki Result & Final Score

Jaro 0 - 3 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jaro vs HJK Helsinki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Jaro 19%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5
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