PSG (K) 3-0 Paris FC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.36/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.36
-43% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +144%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
5.0 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Paris FC (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.75 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
401 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
07.12.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
24.04.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
17.12.2023 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
3-0
AWAY Paris FC (K)
0.76 xG 0.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
307 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs Paris FC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) swept aside Paris FC (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, PSG (K) had 50% of the ball to Paris FC (K)'s 50%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.76 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, PSG (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PSG (K) and 0.75 for Paris FC (K).

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

PSG (K) 3-0 Paris FC (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 48%, draw 26%, Paris FC (K) 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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