Al Qadsia 4-7 Al Fahaheel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.38
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 31% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fahaheel EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.89/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.36
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Fahaheel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
27.10.2024 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
12.05.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
29.03.2024 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 2-5 HT 1-3 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
01.02.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUVEK
29.12.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qadsia
4-7
AWAY Al Fahaheel
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Fahaheel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fahaheel cruised past Al Qadsia 7-4 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Qadsia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Qadsia had 56% of the ball to Al Fahaheel's 44%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Qadsia and 1.17 for Al Fahaheel.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Fahaheel?

Al Qadsia 4-7 Al Fahaheel in the Kuwait - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Fahaheel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 47%, draw 27%, Al Fahaheel 27%. The final score 4-7 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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