Zalgiris II 4-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

Zalgiris II
4 - 1 HT 1 - 0
BFA
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

Zalgiris II vs BFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over Pick
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
2%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Zalgiris II v BFA — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Zalgiris II The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.76
1.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Average Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 3

Zalgiris II vs BFA Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY BFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.08.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-6 HT 1-2 BFA BFA LIT1
18.03.2023 BFA BFA 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
12.11.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-1 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
06.07.2022 BFA BFA 4-2 HT 2-2 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
REVIEW Zalgiris II vs BFA
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zalgiris II dismantled BFA 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

A gentle 47% lean on BFA didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zalgiris II and 2.75 for BFA.

Zalgiris II vs BFA Result & Final Score

Zalgiris II 4 - 1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zalgiris II vs BFA Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 30%, draw 23%, BFA 47%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →