El Gounah 0-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
34%
2.61
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.25
Over 2.5
34%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
16%
9.37
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
34%
Draw
35%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
76%
-10.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
24%
+10.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.99
+3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 71%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
18.2 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
2W-3D-1L
AWAY El Geish
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 0.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
226 Passes 272
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2025 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
21.05.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
30.11.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
17.07.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 2-1 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
09.02.2022 El Geish El Geish 0-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
07.04.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 0-4 HT 0-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
0-1
AWAY El Geish
0.66 xG 0.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
247 Passes 252
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past El Gounah 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; El Geish found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Gounah had 51% of the ball to El Geish's 49%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.66 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Gounah and 1.00 for El Geish.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs El Geish?

El Gounah 0-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 34%, draw 34%, El Geish 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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