Follo 2-3 Hönefoss BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.77
2-3 Goals
33%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Follo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 42%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
2.07/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+26% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Follo
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hönefoss BK
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
16.10.2021 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR4
04.10.2015 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Follo Follo NOR1
06.04.2015 Follo Follo 4-0 HT 2-0 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
23.07.2006 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 6-0 HT 3-0 Follo Follo NOR1
17.07.2005 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-1 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Follo
2-3
AWAY Hönefoss BK
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Follo vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK nicked a narrow win over Follo 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Follo had 54% of the ball to Hönefoss BK's 46%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Follo and 2.20 for Hönefoss BK.

What was the final score of Follo vs Hönefoss BK?

Follo 2-3 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Follo vs Hönefoss BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Follo 34%, draw 22%, Hönefoss BK 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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