Polonia Bytom 1-0 KS Wieczysta Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Polonia Bytom win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
2.02/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+49% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
23.10.2024 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow 3-1 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
1-0
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs KS Wieczysta Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom edged past KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Polonia Bytom found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 63% of the ball to KS Wieczysta Krakow's 37%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs KS Wieczysta Krakow?

Polonia Bytom 1-0 KS Wieczysta Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs KS Wieczysta Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 38%, draw 26%, KS Wieczysta Krakow 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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