Union Omaha 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.67/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.39
+15% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +71%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
20.1 Crosses 11.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-2
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
2.47 xG 1.83
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
383 Passes 159
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha and Portland Hearts of Pine shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Omaha had 65% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 35%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.47 to 1.83.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Union Omaha 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 49%, draw 26%, Portland Hearts of Pine 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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