Atletico Rafaela 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.44
Over 2.5
30%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.3pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.16/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.69
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 15
4 Corners 5
14.11.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
09.11.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
02.04.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto edged past Atletico Rafaela 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Estudiantes Rio Cuarto made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 0.00 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Atletico Rafaela 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 33%, draw 36%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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