Vila Nova 3-2 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 11 Jun 2024

Vila Nova
3 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Ceara
📅11/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Vila Nova vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.52
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.7
6+
4%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Vila Nova v Ceara — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vila Nova The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara The Market 38%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Vila Nova vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ceara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-1 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
20.07.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
04.10.2017 Ceara Ceara 2-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
21.06.2017 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
12.11.2016 Ceara Ceara 2-3 HT 1-2 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
23.07.2016 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-4 HT 1-3 Ceara Ceara BR2

Vila Nova 3-2 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
3 - 2
AWAY Ceara
2.06 xG 1.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
182 Passes 173
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 30
8 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Vila Nova vs Ceara
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vila Nova came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Ceara 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 31% / 34%); Vila Nova picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Vila Nova had 51% of the ball to Ceara's 49%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 2.06 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vila Nova and 1.83 for Ceara.

Vila Nova vs Ceara Result & Final Score

Vila Nova 3 - 2 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vila Nova vs Ceara Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 35%, draw 31%, Ceara 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✗ Under 2.5
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