Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-2 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.3pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 57%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.51/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+28% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.2 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane and Moreton City Excelsior shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Moreton City Excelsior at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-2 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 32%, draw 26%, Moreton City Excelsior 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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