Tartu Kalev 1-2 FC Elva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
49%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
13%
+17.7pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
49%
Away Win
70%
-21.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.8pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tartu Kalev EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Elva EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tartu Kalev
1-2
AWAY FC Elva
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tartu Kalev vs FC Elva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Elva nicked a narrow win over Tartu Kalev 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Elva as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tartu Kalev had 47% of the ball to FC Elva's 53%, shots finished 13-16.

What was the final score of Tartu Kalev vs FC Elva?

Tartu Kalev 1-2 FC Elva in the Estonia - Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tartu Kalev vs FC Elva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Elva win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tartu Kalev 30%, draw 20%, FC Elva 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Elva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Elva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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