Internacional 1-2 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.82/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.29
+28% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
18.9 Crosses 18.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 Passes 362
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRG1
30.08.2022 Internacional Internacional 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
09.05.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
26.01.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
11.11.2021 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
19.07.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-2
AWAY Juventude
1.49 xG 2.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 3
349 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude squeezed past Internacional 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 60% of the ball to Juventude's 40%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.49 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Internacional and 1.00 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Juventude?

Internacional 1-2 Juventude in the Brazil - Cup on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Internacional 48%, draw 27%, Juventude 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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