El Geish 1-2 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 59%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.69/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.74
-28% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
13.0 Crosses 22.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zamalek
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.71 xG 1.58
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 387
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
07.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 0-4 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
17.05.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
31.10.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
20.05.2021 El Geish El Geish 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
09.01.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 3-0 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-2
AWAY Zamalek
0.92 xG 1.35
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
270 Passes 513
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek edged past El Geish 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Geish had 37% of the ball to Zamalek's 63%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.92 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for El Geish and 2.17 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Zamalek?

El Geish 1-2 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split El Geish 25%, draw 26%, Zamalek 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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