Concarneau 1-2 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2025

📅11/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
166 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Brest
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
02.12.2017 Concarneau Concarneau 2-2 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
1-2
AWAY Brest
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest squeezed past Concarneau 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Concarneau had 39% of the ball to Brest's 61%, shots finished 4-13.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Brest?

Concarneau 1-2 Brest in the Friendlies on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 24%, draw 23%, Brest 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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