Melbourne Victory 0-3 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2025

📅11/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory
0-3
AWAY Wrexham
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham cruised past Melbourne Victory 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Melbourne Victory had 32% of the ball to Wrexham's 68%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham?

Melbourne Victory 0-3 Wrexham in the Friendlies on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory 20%, draw 23%, Wrexham 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ BTTS Yes
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