UMF Tindastoll 2-2 Hviti Riddarinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
14%
4.49
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-4.9pp
14%
Draw
19%
-4.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hviti Riddarinn EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.94/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.04
+16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Tindastoll
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hviti Riddarinn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.05.2026 Hviti Riddarinn Hviti Riddarinn 1-1 HT 0-1 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll İZL2
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs Hviti Riddarinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll and Hviti Riddarinn couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

This one beat our numbers. UMF Tindastoll carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Hviti Riddarinn?

UMF Tindastoll 2-2 Hviti Riddarinn in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Hviti Riddarinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 57%, draw 14%, Hviti Riddarinn 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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