Palestino 3-2 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 11 Jul 2026

Palestino
3-2 HT 1-0
Santa Cruz
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2026

Palestino vs Santa Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palestino v Santa Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
3.11/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.01
+64% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
– Crosses 16.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.0

Palestino vs Santa Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Cruz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.06.2026 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİLİK

Palestino 3-2 Santa Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
3-2
AWAY Santa Cruz
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino squeezed past Santa Cruz 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Santa Cruz?

Palestino 3-2 Santa Cruz in the Chile - Cup on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Palestino 56%, draw 22%, Santa Cruz 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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