Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 Magic United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 11 Jul 2026

Moreton City Excelsior
4-3 HT 2-1
Magic United
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2026

Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.25
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
76%
-5.1pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.7pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.9pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreton City Excelsior v Magic United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Magic United EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.49/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.00
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
393 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Magic United
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
07.04.2026 Magic United 0-5 HT 0-2 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior edged past Magic United 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United?

Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 Magic United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Magic United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 71%, draw 17%, Magic United 12%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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